Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 379.297169 431.297841 489.313829 559.109976 641.155169 734.967369 850.966633
2025-09-07 302.155329 369.740795 452.143030 561.090695 702.973194 883.744687 1135.163641
2025-09-14 255.335157 327.065444 419.558946 549.556045 730.783438 979.425978 1355.224803
2025-09-21 225.655503 299.861938 399.992809 548.008093 766.530777 1086.050200 1605.728005
2025-09-28 196.371989 268.522422 369.410378 524.661165 764.751443 1134.712447 1774.771445
2025-10-05 185.287438 260.796470 370.277529 545.878362 830.942165 1295.402024 2154.686295
2025-10-12 177.007351 255.842978 374.040602 571.120620 906.145089 1482.225123 2620.929466
2025-10-19 165.013565 243.829865 365.356034 574.747618 945.048951 1612.368677 3011.267173
2025-10-26 151.082953 227.359945 347.743063 560.961886 950.898205 1682.545299 3297.289912
2025-11-02 139.820110 214.042160 333.778863 551.474874 962.615129 1764.863675 3627.612109
2025-11-09 134.372563 209.607063 333.950390 566.706221 1022.492903 1952.459290 4242.655654
2025-11-16 126.463074 200.360903 324.975635 564.005030 1046.641046 2069.798210 4722.205149
2025-11-23 117.983972 189.679283 312.895428 554.792733 1057.791143 2164.451817 5182.279709
2025-11-30 112.023305 182.889273 307.146936 557.195480 1093.836654 2323.170310 5868.535126
2025-12-07 104.728645 173.156279 295.139879 545.707659 1097.898824 2406.909845 6368.631171
2025-12-14 99.442770 166.606789 288.435355 544.178164 1123.910910 2549.836884 7099.327197
2025-12-21 91.930675 155.478175 272.184607 521.024876 1096.747444 2551.465005 7377.929523
2025-12-28 90.327711 155.115045 276.519961 542.065668 1177.480539 2856.756037 8810.038695
2026-01-04 89.200729 155.535691 282.383113 567.096219 1272.269986 3224.794311 10650.600879
2026-01-11 85.847034 151.453132 278.880391 570.692648 1313.243349 3446.718494 12035.582073
2026-01-18 81.021418 144.199582 268.357449 557.022908 1306.811988 3523.134679 12850.253985
2026-01-25 76.964722 138.206997 260.006271 547.615398 1310.643242 3633.664722 13877.881070
2026-02-01 75.433290 137.122196 261.839062 562.718978 1384.832621 3993.898641 16296.620972